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The rate of growth in demand for aluminum in 2013 will repeat last year's dynamics

Demand for aluminum in the global market in 2013 will exhibit the same dynamics as in the previous year. This is the forecast made in the next 12 months for the «winged metal» experts of the analytical department of the company «Russian Aluminium» (UC RUSAL). In their view, the demand for this resource will show approximately six percent as compared to the figures of 2012 and will amount to 50 mln. Tons (versus last year's 47.4 million). In the same proportion, according to analysts «Rusal» increased global consumption of aluminum a year ago (referred to above 47.4 million tons to 44.7 million. In 2011).

In the coming year — experts say the aluminum corporation — a major role in the story about the escalation of consumption will be allocated to countries with emerging economies, where leaders traditionally are China and India (with 9.5% growth rates and 6%, respectively). Mike outsider — analysts say «Rusal» — get the European countries (except Russia and CIS), whose indicators show a negative trend (minus 2%). The rest of the state (including — RF, neighboring republics, as well as North America and Asia the remaining countries) show a moderate growth in demand — ranging from + 4% to + 5.8% to its own figures in 2012.

Commenting on its own forecast, the experts «combined company» noted that any radical movements of the market in the direction of the aluminum deficiency or an excess of metal in the coming year is not expected. This state of affairs is due to the fact that the negative tendency in the development of the world economy, which took place in 2012, in the coming months will be partially compensated by artificial measures taken by governments to optimize their business. Nevertheless — analysts say «Rusal» — for the majority of the world's aluminum producers existing metal quotations remain below the break-even threshold, which in the near future may cause some stopping power operators with a high level of production costs.

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